Fixed or Variable Mortgage? How Canada’s Economic Shifts Could Impact Your Decision

Carla Sturm • February 24, 2025

Navigating Mortgage Rates in an Uncertain Market

With Canada’s economy facing trade tensions, inflation concerns, and a potential slowdown, mortgage rates are in flux. Borrowers must weigh the risks and rewards of fixed vs. variable rates to make the best decision for their financial future.

What’s Driving Mortgage Rate Changes?


Several key factors are shaping the mortgage landscape:

Trade Uncertainty – New tariffs between the U.S. and Canada could push inflation higher, impacting bond yields and fixed mortgage rates.

Inflation Pressures – If inflation stays above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target, rate cuts may be delayed, keeping borrowing costs higher.

Recession Concerns – If economic growth slows, the BoC could cut rates, making variable-rate mortgages more attractive.


Fixed vs. Variable: Which One is Right for You?

🔒 Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
✅ Predictable payments for peace of mind
✅ Protection from future rate hikes
❌ Typically higher initial rates
❌ Costly penalties if you break your term early


📊 Variable-Rate Mortgages:
✅ Lower starting rates with potential for savings
✅ Easier to break or refinance if needed
❌ Payments can fluctuate with rate changes
❌ Higher risk if inflation pushes rates upward


What’s the Best Move Right Now?

✔ Go Fixed if you want stability and protection from rising rates.
✔ Go Variable if you believe rates will drop and you can handle some risk.
✔ Consider a Hybrid Mortgage to get the best of both worlds.


Stay Flexible & Informed

Mortgage rates are unpredictable, and the best choice today may change in a few months. Working with a mortgage professional can help you navigate these shifts and secure the best deal for your financial future.

Need expert guidance? Reach out today to discuss your options!


Carla Sturm
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Worried About Your Mortgage Renewal? You’re Not Alone

By Carla Sturm • June 18, 2025
Worried About Your Mortgage Renewal? You’re Not Alone  If your mortgage renewal is coming up soon, you're likely feeling a bit of financial pressure—and you’re not the only one. A recent survey shows that over half of Canadian homeowners believe their upcoming mortgage renewal could impact their current living situation. With interest rates still higher than what many borrowers locked in before 2022, 45% of those renewing in the next 12 months expect their monthly payments to increase. Even though the Bank of Canada has held its key overnight rate steady at 2.75%, borrowing costs remain elevated compared to the low-rate years we saw earlier in the decade. And that’s changing how Canadians think about their finances. Changing Plans and Tightening Budgets Among those worried about their renewal, 73% say they’re already cutting back on discretionary spending—things like eating out, entertainment, or travel—to brace for higher mortgage payments. For many, it goes deeper than just trimming the budget. Nearly one in four surveyed homeowners said they’re rethinking their entire financial strategy. Some are pressing pause on home renovations (43%), while others are considering downsizing or relocating to a more affordable area (29%). A smaller group (15%) is even open to major lifestyle changes, like moving in with roommates or relocating to a new neighbourhood altogether. Fixed-Rate Mortgages on the Rise In this climate, most homeowners looking to renew are leaning toward fixed-rate mortgages, with 75% preferring the stability of predictable payments. For those facing uncertainty, locking in a rate for the next few years can offer peace of mind—even if it means paying a little more in the short term. First-Time Buyers Are Feeling It Too It’s not just current homeowners feeling the pinch. A separate survey found that more than half of Canadians planning to buy a home are cutting back on non-essential spending to save for their down payment or other buying costs. About 31% are even considering tapping into savings or investment accounts like TFSAs, RRSPs, or first-time home savings accounts to make their purchase possible. What This Means for You Whether you’re preparing to renew or purchase for the first time, this environment calls for smart, strategic planning. You’re not alone in feeling uncertain—but with the right guidance, you can navigate these changes confidently. Have questions about your upcoming renewal or wondering what type of mortgage is right for today’s market? Let’s connect. We're here to help you make informed, confident decisions about your home financing.

Unsure About the Housing Market? Let's Talk.

By Carla Sturm • June 18, 2025
If you’ve been thinking about buying a property, whether that be your first home, next home, forever home, or a home to retire into, the current state of the Canadian economy might have you wondering: Is this really the right time to make a move? There is certainly no shortage of doom and gloom in the news out there. The truth is, that’s a tough question to answer in the best of times. It’s nearly impossible to know for sure what’s going to happen next with the housing market in Canada. It could heat up or it could cool down. So here’s some advice. Instead of basing your buying decision entirely on external market factors, like the economy or housing market, consider looking for the answers internally. When you stop looking at the market to determine your timing to buy a home, and instead examine the personal reasons you have for wanting to buy a home, the picture can become much clearer. Here are some questions to consider. Although they are subjective, they will help bring you clarity. Ask yourself: Does buying a property now put me in a better financial position? Do I make enough money now to afford a new home and maintain my lifestyle? Do I feel confident with my current employment status? Have I saved enough money for a down payment? How long do I plan on living in this new home? Is there any scenario where I might have to sell quickly and potentially lose money? Does buying a property now move me closer to my life goals? Do I really want to buy now or am I just feeling a lot of pressure to just buy something? Am I holding back because I'm scared property prices might drop soon? There’s no doubt that buying a home can be stressful, but it doesn’t have to be. Having a plan in place is the best course of action to help you make good decisions and alleviate that stress. If you’d like to have a conversation to discuss your plans, ask some questions, and map out what buying a home looks like for you, we can address many of the unknowns together. The best place to start is to work through a mortgage pre-approval. There is no cost for this service, you’ll learn exactly what you can qualify for, and it will provide a lot of clarity about your situation. You might decide that it’s best to wait before buying, and that’s just fine. You might find that now’s a perfect time for you to buy! If you'd like to talk, please connect anytime. You’re not in this alone. We can work through everything together.